Monetary Policy

December Cut for Inflation, a February Cut for Growth

India’s December cut signalled entrenched disinflation, yet weakening growth may force another move in February as liquidity and demand slip.

Yield Scribe

December 8, 2025 at 2:34 AM IST

Monetary Policy

RBI’s Dovish Turn Clouds the Story of India’s Goldilocks Economy

Accommodative push contrasts with claims of strong growth and benign inflation

Dhananjay Sinha

December 5, 2025 at 3:27 PM IST

iStock.com

Monetary Policy

Goodbye Inflation, See You in Next Cycle

The RBI’s rate cut reflects the end of an inflation cycle that began in 2022 and collapsed spectacularly in 2025.

BasisPoint Groupthink

December 5, 2025 at 8:00 AM IST

Monetary Policy

Crawling Rupee, Creeping Risks on the RBI’s December Tightrope

A deceptive macro calm hides real fragilities, leaving the RBI heading into this review with plenty of room to misstep.

R. Gurumurthy

November 27, 2025 at 6:33 AM IST

Poonam Gupta's tweet

Week in Numbers: Tracking India’s Economic Pulse

Retail inflation fell to a record low in October, but a December rate cut still hangs in the balance.

Datametricx

November 15, 2025 at 1:07 PM IST

Record-low Inflation Sets Stage for December Rate Cut: I-Sec PD

BasisPoint Insight

November 13, 2025 at 12:09 PM IST

Monetary Policy

When Inflation Disappears, Policy Loses its Compass

With inflation collapsing to a record low and tracking below 2% for 2025–26, India’s policy dilemma has flipped. The challenge now is not restraining prices but recalibrating a framework built for an inflationary past.

Madhavi Arora

November 13, 2025 at 3:49 AM IST

iStock.com

Week in Numbers: Tracking India’s Economic Pulse

With GST rate cuts coming into effect and a significant statistical base effect in play, India’s inflation indicators are likely to move toward deflation in October.

Datametricx

October 18, 2025 at 12:45 PM IST

istock.com/natbits

India’s September Retail Inflation Lowest Since 2017; Core Rises to 4.5%

BasisPoint Insight

October 13, 2025 at 12:05 PM IST

iStock.com

Monetary Policy

Review of MPC Decision: What Does it Mean to be Forward-Looking?

Is it forward-looking to let policy be decided by base effects, rather than encouraging the anchoring of inflation expectations at the target?

Ashima Goyal

October 1, 2025 at 5:26 PM IST

Monetary Policy

RBI Must Cut Rates Now, Not Wait Until December

With inflation collapsing, growth momentum set to fade, and the rupee a shock absorber, the RBI must cut rates in October, not wait till December.

Madhavi Arora

September 30, 2025 at 5:17 AM IST

Screengrab from a RBI Press Conference

Monetary Policy

India’s Wage Malaise Leaves RBI Little Room to Hide

With inflation subdued and nominal growth slipping, structural reforms and monetary easing must work together. The October policy is a test of intent.

Yield Scribe

September 23, 2025 at 6:42 AM IST

iStock.com

MPC Framework

If it Ain’t Broke, Don’t Fix it

The framework may warrant limited refinement—specifically, the inclusion of a clearly defined escape clause for exceptional circumstances.

Vivek Kumar

August 26, 2025 at 2:05 PM IST

iStock.com

Does Climate Change Matter for Monetary Policy Decisions?

Climate shocks are reshaping inflation, growth, and financial stability. For the RBI, integrating climate risks into monetary policy is no longer optional.

Hemachandra Padhan

August 24, 2025 at 8:44 AM IST

iStock.com

Monetary Policy

RBI’s Inflation Vigil Misses Trade Storm Clouds

The central bank’s hawkish turn on core inflation ignores looming growth risks from Trump tariffs and slowing domestic demand.

BasisPoint Groupthink

August 6, 2025 at 7:39 AM IST

Monetary Policy

Glass Half Full, Half Tariff

Trump calls it a ‘dead economy’; the RBI governor answers with monsoon cheer, falling inflation and a festival season pitch for resilience.

BasisPoint Insight

August 6, 2025 at 6:42 AM IST

Monetary Policy

RBI Surprises With 50 bps Rate Cut, But Signals Long Pause Ahead

The Monetary Policy Committee’s decision to shift its stance to neutral from accommodative signals that the door to further cuts remains open but the threshold to cut again has risen.

BasisPoint Insight

June 6, 2025 at 4:46 AM IST

Monetary Policy In A Schrödinger’s Economy

RBI must tread carefully in a Schrödinger’s economy, where outcomes stay indeterminate until observed, demanding reactive policy moves.

Vivek Kumar

June 2, 2025 at 6:41 AM IST

RBI Need Not Rush To 5% As Liquidity Does The Heavy-Lifting

The RBI has uncoupled its stance from liquidity. That may make aggressive rate cuts less likely, even if monetary conditions stay easy.

BasisPoint Groupthink

May 19, 2025 at 5:56 AM IST

RBI Tweets

April CPI Inflation Lowest Since July 2019, Stays Below RBI Target For 3rd Month

This is the last CPI release before Monetary Policy Committee’s bi-monthly meeting to be held June 4-6.

BasisPoint Insight

May 13, 2025 at 11:42 AM IST

SBI Research Pushes For 50-BPS Jumbo Rate Cuts To Boost Transmission

The benign inflation outlook, coupled with a moderate growth forecast, has created what the bank describes as a “Goldilocks period” for rate cuts.

BasisPoint Insight

May 5, 2025 at 12:29 PM IST

Anurag Vijay/CC

Core Issue With India’s Inflation Isn’t Going Away

India’s headline inflation may have cooled, but seasonal effects mask the stickier rise in core prices—leaving RBI’s policy pivot on shaky ground.

Dhananjay Sinha

April 16, 2025 at 4:58 PM IST

iStock.com/:Radiokukka

The Bureau

Sensex, Nifty Extend Slide as Fed Uncertainty and Trade Deal Worries Weigh

BofA Says Rupee Weakness Hurts Confidence More Than Prices

RBI Pushes Back on IMF Remarks

RBI Cuts Rates, Reading Softness Beneath the 8.2% Shine

OMO Injections and VRRR Drains Can Run Side by Side

Expect Little From the Deputy USTR’s Visit: GTRI

Fitch Lifts India Growth Forecast, Expects One Last Cut This Week

Sundeep Sikka on Building Team at Nippon MF & the Future of Mutual Funds | Market Makers Part - II

Jallikattu: Tamil Nadu’s Ancient Bull-Taming Tradition